← Segunda División 2020 · Thu, Oct 22, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Alejandro Muñiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win | 34% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Oviedo win | 32% | 3.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid +0 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Oviedo +0 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Edgar González · Oviedo |
| 56' | 🟨 | Álvaro García · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 58' | 🟨 | Borja Sánchez · Oviedo |
| 82' | 🟨 | Giorgi Aburjania · Oviedo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Joni Montiel · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 88' | 🟨 | Leonardo Ulloa · Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
| 90' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 4 | Shots | 5 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Oviedo | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | Estadio Nuevo Carlos Tartiere |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 264.00 | 82.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1496.77 | 1555.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -2.92 | -3.30 |
| eye test v1 | -1.08 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 57.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.45 |
| league points | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.00 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 3.94 | 4.13 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.29 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 6.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.00 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.22 | 0.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 27.57 | 24.98 |
| state index | -0.17 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |