← Segunda División 2020 · Wed, Oct 21, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: Iosu Galech
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Girona win | 38% | 2.65 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Lugo win | 28% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Girona +0.25 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.40 |
| Over | 31% | 3.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟥 | Antonio Luna · Girona |
| 45' | 🟨 | Samu Sáiz · Girona |
| 49' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 58' | ⚽ | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 65' | 🟨 | Cristian Herrera · Lugo |
| 66' | ⚽ | Hugo Rama · Lugo |
| 71' | 🟨 | José Luis Rodríguez · Lugo |
| 74' | ⚽ | Chris Ramos · Lugo |
| 80' | 🟨 | Juanpe · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 6 |
| 6 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Girona |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 142.00 | 142.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 3.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1433.81 | 1522.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.31 | -15.76 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.38 | -0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.10 | 61.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| league points | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.40 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 4.13 | 2.94 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 27.56 | 27.06 |
| state index | -0.38 | -0.17 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.24 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |