← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Oct 18, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Miguel Ortiz
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 48% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Málaga CF win | 21% | 4.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.5 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Pablo Chavarria · Málaga CF |
| 26' | ⚽ | Cayetano Quintana · Málaga CF |
| 33' | 🟨 | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 62' | 🟨 | Pablo Chavarria · Málaga CF |
| 83' | ⚽ | Adrián González · Zaragoza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Álvaro Tejero · Zaragoza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| coach days | 78.00 | 291.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1486.14 | 1501.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.63 | -12.15 |
| eye test v1 | -0.98 | -1.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 55.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.68 |
| league points | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 7.01 | 7.09 |
| season ppg | 1.67 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.80 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.42 | -0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 2.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| squad age | 27.22 | 26.28 |
| state index | -0.02 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |