← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Oct 17, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Ocón
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Fuenlabrada win | 34% | 3.10 |
| Cartagena win | 31% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Cartagena +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.45 |
| Over | 34% | 2.88 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Moises Delgado · Fuenlabrada |
| 24' | 🟨 | Alex Mula · Fuenlabrada |
| 53' | 🟨 | Eladio Zorrilla Jiménez · Cartagena |
| 53' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 58' | 🟨 | José Ángel Jurado · Cartagena |
| 63' | ⚽ | Rubén Castro · Cartagena |
| 66' | ⚽ | Franchu · Fuenlabrada |
| 73' | 🟨 | David Andújar · Cartagena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Randy Nteka · Fuenlabrada |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mikel Iribas · Fuenlabrada |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 13 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 26 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cartagena | Fuenlabrada |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Estadio Municipal Cartagonova |
| coach days | 321.00 | 230.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 1.10 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1423.32 | 1540.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.39 | 22.44 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | -0.02 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.51 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | — |
| league points | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 5.99 | 6.26 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.20 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.06 | -0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 29.45 | 26.92 |
| state index | -0.16 | 0.56 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.39 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |