← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Oct 11, 10:00 AM UTC · ref: Aitor Gorostegui
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada win | 50% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.14 |
| Castellon win | 19% | 5.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fuenlabrada −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Castellon −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 65% | 1.48 |
| Over | 35% | 2.80 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟥 | Victor Garcia Marin · Castellon |
| 18' | ⚽ | Cristóbal Márquez · Fuenlabrada |
| 38' | 🟨 | Adrián Diéguez · Fuenlabrada |
| 40' | 🟨 | Pathé Ismaël Ciss · Fuenlabrada |
| 42' | 🟨 | Rubén Díez · Castellon |
| 55' | ⚽ | Adrián Lapeña · Castellon |
| 57' | 🟨 | Moises Delgado · Fuenlabrada |
| 85' | 🟨 | Marc Mateu · Castellon |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 12 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 21 | Fouls | 6 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fuenlabrada | Castellon |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Estadio Fernando Torres |
| coach days | 224.00 | 437.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.16 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | — |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | — |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | — |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | — |
| elo | 1545.49 | 1415.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.60 | 20.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -1.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | — |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 60.25 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.65 |
| league points | 10.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 53.75 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.74 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | — |
| season ppg | 2.50 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | — |
| skill v1 | -0.89 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | — |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.08 | 28.01 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | 1.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | — |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.00 |