← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Oct 11, 10:00 AM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mallorca win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.80 |
| Lugo win | 29% | 3.65 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Lugo +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Mallorca +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 68% | 1.41 |
| Over | 32% | 3.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Salva Sevilla · Mallorca |
| 61' | 🟨 | Braian Cufré · Mallorca |
| 66' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 73' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 76' | 🟨 | Luis Ruiz · Lugo |
| 77' | 🟨 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 77' | 🟥 | Xavi Torres · Lugo |
| 79' | 🟨 | Aleix Febas · Mallorca |
| 81' | 🟨 | Gerard Valentín · Lugo |
| 83' | 🟨 | Dani Rodríguez · Mallorca |
| 88' | 🟨 | Aleksandar Sedlar · Mallorca |
| 90' | 🟨 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
| 90' | 🟥 | Carlos Pita · Lugo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 3 | Shots | 9 |
| 2 | On target | 3 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Lugo | Mallorca |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Estadio Anxo Carro |
| coach days | 132.00 | 71.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 1.83 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1429.84 | 1571.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.04 | 8.54 |
| eye test v1 | -0.68 | -0.30 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.25 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 60.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| league points | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.40 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 44.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 6.65 | 7.74 |
| season ppg | 0.75 | 1.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | 0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.28 | 27.03 |
| state index | -0.47 | 0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |