← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Oct 3, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.88 |
| Albacete win | 30% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Oviedo +0 | 56% | 1.75 |
| Albacete +0 | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over | 34% | 2.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Nicolás Gorosito · Albacete |
| 11' | ⚽ | Alejandro Arribas · Oviedo |
| 13' | 🟨 | Manuel Fuster · Albacete |
| 19' | 🟨 | Ivan Kecojević · Albacete |
| 21' | 🟥 | Alejandro Arribas · Oviedo |
| 53' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 54' | 🟨 | Edgar González · Oviedo |
| 55' | ⚽ | Pape Maly Diamanka · Albacete |
| 64' | 🟨 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 64' | 🟥 | Juanjo Nieto · Oviedo |
| 74' | 🟨 | Álvaro Jiménez · Albacete |
| 85' | 🟨 | Christian Fernández · Oviedo |
| 88' | 🟨 | Karim Azamoum · Albacete |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sergio Tejera · Oviedo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 5 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Albacete | Oviedo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Estadio Carlos Belmonte |
| coach days | 2.00 | 245.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1437.70 | 1485.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -4.77 | -21.49 |
| eye test v1 | -1.12 | -1.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.62 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.50 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.81 |
| league points | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.40 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 0.00 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 7.20 |
| skill v1 | -1.64 | -0.86 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 0.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 26.75 | 25.92 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.54 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.82 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |