← Segunda División 2020 · Sun, Sep 27, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: David Gálvez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Tenerife win | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Mirandes win | 21% | 4.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mirandes −0.5 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Tenerife −0.5 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ (og) | Nikola Šipčić · Mirandes |
| 21' | 🟨 | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 32' | ⚽ | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 56' | 🟨 | Bojan Letić · Mirandes |
| 58' | 🟨 | Juan Berrocal · Mirandes |
| 59' | 🟨 | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 59' | 🟥 | Álex Bermejo Escribano · Tenerife |
| 76' | ⚽ | Erik Jirka · Mirandes |
| 89' | 🟥 | Javier Alonso · Tenerife |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 2 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Tenerife | Mirandes |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| venue | Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez Lopéz |
| coach days | 301.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.13 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1509.26 | 1455.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.72 | -9.91 |
| eye test v1 | -0.51 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.70 | 60.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.67 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 72.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.09 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.12 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.93 | 24.53 |
| state index | -0.26 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.71 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |