← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Sep 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Javier Iglesias
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Zaragoza win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Las Palmas win | 25% | 4.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Las Palmas −0.5 | 55% | 1.76 |
| Zaragoza −0.5 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
| 16' | 🟨 | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 19' | ⚽ (og) | Claudio Mendes · Zaragoza |
| 23' | ⚽ | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 37' | 🟨 | Pichu Atienza · Zaragoza |
| 49' | ⚽ | Javi Ros · Zaragoza |
| 57' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 63' | 🟨 | Jannick Buyla · Zaragoza |
| 70' | 🟨 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 70' | 🟥 | Álvaro Lemos · Las Palmas |
| 82' | ⚽ | Eduardo Espiau |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 7 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Zaragoza | Las Palmas |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.80 |
| venue | Estadio de la Romareda |
| 85' | 🟨 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
| 85' | 🟥 | Carlos Nieto · Zaragoza |
| 89' | 🟨 | Maikel Mesa · Las Palmas |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrián González · Zaragoza |
| coach days | 56.00 | 575.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.21 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 1.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1478.54 | 1487.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.39 | 20.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.54 | — |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.20 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 30.00 | 5.81 |
| season ppg | — | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.18 | -0.16 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.94 | 24.63 |
| state index | -0.65 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.95 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |