← Segunda División 2020 · Sat, Sep 19, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: Rafael Sánchez
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Castellon win | 40% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 34% | 2.90 |
| Málaga CF win | 26% | 3.75 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Málaga CF −0.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Castellon −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 67% | 1.43 |
| Over | 33% | 2.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Ramón Enríquez · Málaga CF |
| 39' | 🟨 | Mohamed Benkhemassa · Málaga CF |
| 43' | 🟨 | Matos · Málaga CF |
| 54' | 🟨 | Josep Señé · Castellon |
| 54' | 🟨 | Alberto Escassi · Málaga CF |
| 64' | 🟨 | Adrián Lapeña · Castellon |
| 73' | 🟨 | Ivan Calero · Málaga CF |
| 75' | 🟨 | Joseba Muguruza · Castellon |
| 79' | 🟨 | Cayetano Quintana · Málaga CF |
| 83' | 🟨 | Juande Rivas · Málaga CF |
| 85' | 🟨 | Dani Barrio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 7 |
| 1 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 7 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Castellon | Málaga CF |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | — | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | — | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | — | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | — | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.20 |
| venue | Nou Estadi Castalia |
| coach days | 415.00 | 262.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | — | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | — | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | — | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | — | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | — | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | — | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | — | 0.50 |
| elo | 1397.85 | 1500.88 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.26 | -16.26 |
| eye test v1 | — | -0.72 |
| eye trend v1 | — | -0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | — | 54.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.61 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | — | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | — | 46.80 |
| rest days | 7.09 | 5.89 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | — | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | — | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | — | -0.67 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | — | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | — | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | — | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | — | 3.00 |
| squad age | 28.33 | 25.59 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | — | -0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | — | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | — | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | — | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |