← Serie B 2020 · Mon, May 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 57% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.09 |
| Virtus Entella win | 19% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Virtus Entella −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 60% | 1.60 |
| Under | 40% | 2.46 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Ilias Koutsoupias · Virtus Entella |
| 38' | ⚽ | Francesco Belli · Pisa |
| 58' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · Pisa |
| 71' | ⚽ (pen) | Davide Marsura · Pisa |
| 76' | ⚽ | Simone Palombi · Pisa |
| 77' | ⚽ | Vlad Dragomir · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 24 | Shots | 7 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 1074.00 | 39.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 3.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.41 |
| elo | 1436.02 | 1297.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.89 | -29.60 |
| eye test v1 | 0.77 | -0.44 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.77 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 46.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.62 |
| league points | 47.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 19.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 0.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.60 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.29 | 25.60 |
| state index | -0.33 | -1.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.41 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |