← Serie B 2020 · Mon, May 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 50% | 1.94 |
| US Lecce win | 25% | 3.88 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Empoli −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under | 34% | 2.87 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Biagio Meccariello · US Lecce |
| 24' | ⚽ | Pablo Rodríguez · US Lecce |
| 39' | 🟨 | Nicolas Haas · Empoli |
| 42' | 🟨 | Fabio Pisacane · US Lecce |
| 51' | ⚽ | Andrea La Mantia · Empoli |
| 63' | 🟨 | Fabiano Parisi · Empoli |
| 69' | ⚽ | Ryder Matos · Empoli |
| 84' | 🟨 | Marco Olivieri · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 282.00 | 282.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.52 | 1.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1589.29 | 1570.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.06 | -23.69 |
| eye test v1 | 1.04 | 0.79 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.70 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| league points | 74.00 | 68.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.74 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 15.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.73 | 0.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.40 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 24.38 | 28.89 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.40 |