← Serie B 2020 · Mon, May 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 43% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Venezia FC win | 24% | 4.18 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 51% | 1.88 |
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 49% | 2.01 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Jacopo Dezi · Venezia FC |
| 29' | 🟨 | Agostino Camigliano · Cittadella |
| 33' | ⚽ | Riccardo Bocalon · Venezia FC |
| 46' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 50' | ⚽ | Enrico Baldini · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 2140.00 | 282.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1493.97 | 1506.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.62 | 10.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | 0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.30 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 57.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.79 |
| league points | 59.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 1.59 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 13.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.63 | 0.82 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 27.54 | 26.62 |
| state index | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.61 | 0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |