← Serie B 2020 · Mon, May 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 64% | 1.52 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 |
| Cremonese win | 13% | 8.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −1 | 52% | 1.89 |
| Cremonese −1 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 58' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fiordaliso · Cremonese |
| 73' | 🟨 | Raúl Asencio · Spal |
| 81' | ⚽ | Jacopo Segre · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 4 | On target | 4 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 70.00 | 129.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 1.84 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1452.37 | 1464.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.42 | 5.83 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | 0.61 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 48.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.82 |
| league points | 57.00 | 48.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 48.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.10 | 5.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 24.85 | 25.40 |
| state index | -0.41 | 0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.37 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |