β Serie B 2020 Β· Mon, May 10, 12:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Di Martino
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 67% | 1.43 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.50 |
| Ascoli win | 12% | 8.52 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli β1.25 | 52% | 1.86 |
| Chievo β1.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | π¨ | Gabriele Corbo Β· Ascoli |
| 19' | β½ | Luigi Canotto Β· Chievo |
| 40' | π¨ | Mirko Eramo Β· Ascoli |
| 57' | β½ | Luigi Canotto Β· Chievo |
| 66' | π¨ | Mattia Viviani Β· Chievo |
| 75' | π¨ | Matteo Cotali Β· Chievo |
| 80' | β½ | Luca Garritano Β· Chievo |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 435.00 | 160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1487.79 | 1448.81 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.96 | 64.73 |
| eye test v1 | -0.63 | 0.88 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.42 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 51.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.83 |
| league points | 54.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.34 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.21 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 27.55 | 28.82 |
| state index | -0.29 | 0.51 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | -1.46 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |