← Serie B 2020 · Fri, May 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Chiffi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 38% | 2.54 |
| Reggiana win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.21 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Spal +0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Del Pinto · Reggiana |
| 22' | 🟨 | Luca Zamparo · Reggiana |
| 35' | ⚽ | Salvatore Esposito · Spal |
| 39' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Spal |
| 64' | ⚽ | Ivan Varone · Reggiana |
| 68' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · Spal |
| 70' | 🟨 | Paolo Rozzio · Reggiana |
| 73' | 🟨 | Riccardo Martinelli · Reggiana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Sergio Floccari · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 8 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 18 | Fouls | 23 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.15 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.60 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 676.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 2.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1390.77 | 1442.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.29 | -24.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | -1.18 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.60 | 50.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.73 |
| league points | 37.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.20 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 27.54 | 27.86 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.59 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | 0.62 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |