← Serie B 2020 · Fri, May 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Guida
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 |
| Reggina win | 17% | 5.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Reggina −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.77 |
| Under | 45% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Simone Edera · Reggina |
| 14' | ⚽ | Mariusz Stępiński · US Lecce |
| 16' | ⚽ | Mariusz Stępiński · US Lecce |
| 27' | ⚽ | Adriano Montalto · Reggina |
| 39' | 🟨 | Marco Crimi · Reggina |
| 63' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Loiacono · Reggina |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Stavropoulos · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 15 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 279.00 | 157.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.26 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.90 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1575.12 | 1470.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -34.55 | 33.62 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.10 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.82 |
| league points | 67.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.76 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.24 | 28.16 |
| state index | -0.27 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | 0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |