← Serie B 2020 · Fri, May 7, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Fabbri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 53% | 1.88 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Empoli win | 20% | 5.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.5 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Empoli −0.5 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Mamadou Coulibaly · Salernitana |
| 32' | ⚽ | Luka Bogdan · Salernitana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Vid Belec · Salernitana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nedim Bajrami · Empoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | André Anderson · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 279.00 | 279.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.60 | 3.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1500.10 | 1606.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.92 | -14.96 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 1.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.38 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.90 | 60.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.29 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| league points | 65.00 | 74.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.80 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.95 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 16.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.41 | 0.45 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 6.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.20 |
| squad age | 27.87 | 26.14 |
| state index | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.44 | -0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |