← Serie B 2020 · Tue, May 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: R. Abisso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina win | 42% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.01 |
| Ascoli win | 26% | 3.76 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.55 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Thiago Cionek · Reggina |
| 38' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Reggina |
| 41' | ⚽ | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Nicolò Bianchi · Reggina |
| 47' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 49' | ⚽ | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 53' | 🟨 | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
| 63' | ⚽ | Adriano Montalto · Reggina |
| 73' | 🟨 | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 74' | 🟨 | Fabrizio Caligara · Ascoli |
| 80' | 🟨 | Michael Folorunsho · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 10 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 9 |
| 6 | Corners | 6 |
| 23 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.56 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 154.00 | 154.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.31 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1473.46 | 1430.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.39 | 67.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.80 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.83 |
| league points | 52.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.41 | 1.16 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.80 | -2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.52 | -0.59 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.85 | 28.42 |
| state index | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.37 | -0.67 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.15 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |