← Serie B 2020 · Tue, May 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Marini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Salernitana win | 30% | 3.17 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone +0 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Salernitana +0 | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.56 |
| Over | 38% | 2.54 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| 64' | 🟨 | Sofian Kiyine · Salernitana |
| 67' | 🟨 | Michele Camporese · Pordenone |
| 68' | ⚽ | Gianvito Misuraca · Pordenone |
| 84' | 🟨 | Tiago Casasola · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Magnino · Pordenone |
| 90' | 🟨 | André Anderson · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Vid Belec · Salernitana |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Gennaro Tutino · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pordenone | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Guido Teghil |
| coach days | 1174.00 | 276.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.47 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1433.24 | 1490.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.93 | 1.46 |
| eye test v1 | -0.50 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.58 | 0.48 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.76 |
| league points | 42.00 | 62.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 38.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.68 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.88 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.87 | 26.84 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.30 | -1.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |