← Serie B 2020 · Tue, May 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 71% | 1.35 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.11 |
| Cosenza win | 10% | 10.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −1.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Empoli −1.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 62% | 1.55 |
| Under | 38% | 2.58 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | 🟨 | Riccardo Idda · Cosenza |
| 31' | ⚽ (pen) | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 39' | ⚽ | Andrea La Mantia · Empoli |
| 41' | 🟨 | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 61' | ⚽ | Andrea La Mantia · Empoli |
| 64' | ⚽ | Nedim Bajrami · Empoli |
| 83' | 🟨 | Nicolas Haas · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 7 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 276.00 | 1615.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.41 | 2.51 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.33 |
| elo | 1599.02 | 1411.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.33 | -16.87 |
| eye test v1 | 1.20 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.40 | 44.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.07 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.65 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.78 |
| league points | 71.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.92 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.80 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 7.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.24 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.30 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.36 | 26.99 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.74 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |