← Serie B 2020 · Tue, May 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 70% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 20% | 5.15 |
| Virtus Entella win | 10% | 9.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −1.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Virtus Entella −1.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Markus Pavić · Virtus Entella |
| 49' | ⚽ (og) | Federico Bonini · Cittadella |
| 69' | 🟨 | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 85' | 🟨 | Markus Pavić · Virtus Entella |
| 85' | 🟥 | Markus Pavić · Virtus Entella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.18 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.17 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 2134.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 2.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1505.93 | 1311.19 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.08 | -39.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | -1.09 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| league points | 56.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 21.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 17.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.60 | 78.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.51 | 0.70 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.21 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 1.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 27.92 | 26.61 |
| state index | 0.24 | -1.87 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | 0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |