← Serie B 2020 · Tue, May 4, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 31% | 3.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal +0 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Spal |
| 25' | 🟨 | Caleb Okoli · Spal |
| 26' | 🟨 | Francesco Zampano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 49' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spal |
| 50' | ⚽ (pen) | Andrija Novakovich · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Grigoris Kastanos · Frosinone Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Mirko Gori · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 12 |
| 0 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.22 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 64.00 | 64.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1454.51 | 1429.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.86 | -8.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.85 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 53.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 54.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.46 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.54 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.64 | 27.84 |
| state index | -0.37 | -0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.43 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |