← Serie B 2020 · Sat, May 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.75 |
| Cittadella win | 21% | 4.97 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce −0.5 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.91 |
| Under | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | 🟨 | Christian D'Urso · Cittadella |
| 18' | ⚽ | Christian D'Urso · Cittadella |
| 20' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 27' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 30' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · US Lecce |
| 48' | ⚽ | Marco Rosafio · Cittadella |
| 52' | 🟨 | Agostino Camigliano · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 11 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 273.00 | 2131.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.87 | 1.33 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1608.30 | 1483.63 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.69 | -12.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.59 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.33 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.10 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.83 |
| league points | 67.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 9.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.40 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 13.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.86 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.26 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 28.25 | 27.73 |
| state index | 0.58 | -0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |