← Serie B 2020 · Sat, May 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Giua
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Reggina win | 24% | 4.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggina −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cremonese −0.5 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.81 |
| Over | 46% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 41' | 🟨 | Orji Okwonkwo · Reggina |
| 42' | ⚽ | Luca Valzania · Cremonese |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 55' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 66' | ⚽ | Rigoberto Rivas · Reggina |
| 77' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 83' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Stavropoulos · Reggina |
| 87' | 🟨 | Marco Crimi · Reggina |
| 89' | 🟨 | Christian Dalle Mura · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 12 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 10 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 120.00 | 151.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.32 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.36 |
| elo | 1453.06 | 1472.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.12 | 59.81 |
| eye test v1 | 0.66 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.80 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.77 |
| league points | 43.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 49.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | -5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.00 | 7.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.29 | 28.64 |
| state index | 0.13 | 0.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.15 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.16 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.14 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |