← Serie B 2020 · Sat, May 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 36% | 2.77 |
| Spal win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Spal +0 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 27' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 61' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Spal |
| 63' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 65' | ⚽ | Gabriel Strefezza · Spal |
| 76' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 79' | ⚽ | Filip Jagiełło · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 151.00 | 61.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 2.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1463.54 | 1467.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.68 | 12.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.47 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.60 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| league points | 44.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 78.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.80 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 14.71 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.26 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 0.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| squad age | 25.88 | 27.97 |
| state index | -0.28 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.17 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |