← Serie B 2020 · Sat, May 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Guida
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 37% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.93 |
| Chievo win | 30% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.67 |
| Over | 42% | 2.31 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Luca Garritano · Chievo |
| 20' | 🟨 | Pasquale Mazzocchi · Venezia FC |
| 41' | ⚽ | Domen Črnigoj · Venezia FC |
| 53' | 🟨 | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 59' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Chievo |
| 68' | ⚽ (pen) | Francesco Forte · Venezia FC |
| 69' | ⚽ | Luigi Canotto · Chievo |
| 76' | ⚽ | Francesco Di Mariano · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 10 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 7 |
| 15 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 273.00 | 426.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.71 | 2.98 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1498.35 | 1492.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.09 | 4.64 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 55.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.63 |
| league points | 57.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 45.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.58 | 1.39 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | -0.66 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.65 | 26.98 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.19 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |