← Serie B 2020 · Sat, May 1, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 51% | 1.92 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.54 |
| Ascoli win | 22% | 4.50 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli +0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Ascoli +0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.90 |
| Under | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 39' | ⚽ | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 45' | 🟨 | Szymon Żurkowski · Empoli |
| 58' | 🟨 | Stefano Sabelli · Empoli |
| 60' | ⚽ | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
| 75' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 83' | 🟨 | Tasos Avlonitis · Ascoli |
| 88' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 88' | 🟨 | Stefano Moreo · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 17 |
| 6 | On target | 7 |
| 3 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 151.00 | 273.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.58 | 3.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.65 |
| elo | 1409.06 | 1620.16 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 39.74 | 7.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.21 | 1.38 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.18 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.50 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| league points | 40.00 | 71.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 14.71 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | 8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 18.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.27 | 0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 7.00 |
| squad age | 28.04 | 26.13 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |