← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Irrati
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 35% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.97 |
| Cittadella win | 32% | 3.42 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.25 | 54% | 1.83 |
| Chievo +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.62 |
| Over | 40% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Manuel Iori · Cittadella |
| 48' | 🟨 | Guillaume Gigliotti · Chievo |
| 52' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 72' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 82' | ⚽ | Mario Gargiulo · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Maxime Leverbe · Chievo |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 2117.00 | 412.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1474.75 | 1495.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -31.54 | -4.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.41 | -0.26 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | 0.60 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.50 | 53.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.74 |
| league points | 50.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.60 | 74.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 4.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.43 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.35 | -0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.68 | 27.01 |
| state index | -0.66 | -0.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.00 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.40 |