← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Apr 17, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Serra
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 43% | 2.36 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.21 |
| Cremonese win | 27% | 3.90 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 52% | 1.91 |
| AC Monza −0.25 | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 50% | 1.92 |
| Over | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 34' | ⚽ | Davide Frattesi · AC Monza |
| 38' | ⚽ | Dany Mota · AC Monza |
| 42' | 🟨 | Cristian Buonaiuto · Cremonese |
| 59' | ⚽ (og) | Mario Sampirisi · Cremonese |
| 67' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 83' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Cremonese |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andrea Colpani · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 19 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 7 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 929.00 | 106.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 1.23 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1468.39 | 1461.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -30.63 | 37.31 |
| eye test v1 | -0.17 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.28 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.00 | 45.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 56.00 | 43.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 76.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.16 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.60 | 16.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.20 | -0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 27.02 | 26.92 |
| state index | -0.37 | 0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |