← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Apr 17, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 60% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 26% | 4.05 |
| Brescia win | 15% | 7.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −1 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Empoli −1 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.74 |
| Under | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ (og) | Jesse Joronen · Empoli |
| 17' | ⚽ | Nedim Bajrami · Empoli |
| 27' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 45' | ⚽ | Leo Štulac · Empoli |
| 54' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Brescia |
| 72' | ⚽ | Alfredo Donnarumma · Brescia |
| 83' | ⚽ | Ryder Matos · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 25 | Shots | 9 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 259.00 | 137.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.66 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1618.36 | 1470.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 33.09 | 7.37 |
| eye test v1 | 1.25 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.35 | 0.28 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.80 |
| league points | 67.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 19.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 80.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.20 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 3.92 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.29 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 11.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 19.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.90 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 7.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 26.39 |
| state index | 0.98 | -0.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 1.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |