← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Apr 13, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: E. Abbattista
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 39% | 2.44 |
| Cremonese win | 31% | 3.21 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Empoli +0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 35' | ⚽ (pen) | Emanuele Terranova · Cremonese |
| 59' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 65' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Empoli |
| 79' | ⚽ | Daniel Ciofani · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Emanuele Terranova · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟥 | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 13 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 0 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Empoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 102.00 | 255.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 7.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 9.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.56 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.68 |
| elo | 1458.27 | 1621.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 49.78 | 24.05 |
| eye test v1 | 1.05 | 0.83 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 46.20 | 59.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.65 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.82 |
| league points | 42.00 | 66.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 56.20 |
| rest days | 3.08 | 3.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 9.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 19.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.30 | 0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 26.23 | 24.82 |
| state index | 0.71 | 1.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.60 |