β Serie B 2020 Β· Mon, Apr 12, 05:00 PM UTC Β· ref: R. Ros
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Pisa win | 21% | 4.58 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa β0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Chievo β0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.73 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | β½ | Luca Garritano Β· Chievo |
| 12' | π¨ | Luca Palmiero Β· Chievo |
| 19' | π¨ | Michael Fabbro Β· Chievo |
| 34' | π¨ | Eros Pisano Β· Pisa |
| 44' | π¨ | Davide Marsura Β· Pisa |
| 59' | π¨ | Nicholas Siega Β· Pisa |
| 62' | π¨ | Matteo Cotali Β· Chievo |
| 71' | β½ | Manuel De Luca Β· Chievo |
| 84' | π¨ | Alessandro De Vitis Β· Pisa |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 21 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Chievo | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.18 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi |
| coach days | 407.00 | 1046.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 2.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.64 |
| elo | 1484.61 | 1453.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.56 | -27.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 46.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 7.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 7.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 17.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | -0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.81 | 27.53 |
| state index | -0.63 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.81 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |