← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Apr 11, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Camplone
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 54% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.69 |
| Cosenza win | 18% | 5.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.75 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cosenza −0.75 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 51% | 1.92 |
| Under | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Francesco Forte · Venezia FC |
| 9' | 🟨 | Riccardo Idda · Cosenza |
| 43' | ⚽ | Pietro Ceccaroni · Venezia FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Daniele Sciaudone · Cosenza |
| 58' | ⚽ | Domen Črnigoj · Venezia FC |
| 62' | 🟨 | Matteo Legittimo · Cosenza |
| 79' | ⚽ | Sebastiano Esposito · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 1 |
| 7 | On target | 1 |
| 9 | Corners | 3 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.44 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 253.00 | 1592.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.15 | 2.67 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1495.69 | 1423.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.05 | -6.90 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.50 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.60 | 45.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.79 |
| league points | 54.00 | 34.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 9.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 48.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.17 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.59 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 9.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.45 | -0.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 26.55 | 28.05 |
| state index | -0.18 | -0.43 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.12 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |