← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Apr 10, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Illuzzi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Cittadella win | 31% | 3.10 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Cittadella +0 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 29' | 🟨 | Federico Proia · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Mattia Vitale · Frosinone Calcio |
| 57' | ⚽ | Nicolò Brighenti · Frosinone Calcio |
| 61' | 🟨 | Domenico Frare · Cittadella |
| 63' | 🟨 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 65' | 🟨 | Grigoris Kastanos · Frosinone Calcio |
| 68' | 🟨 | Romano Perticone · Cittadella |
| 82' | 🟨 | Raffaele Maiello · Frosinone Calcio |
| 87' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 12 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 9 | Corners | 7 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 6 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 87' | 🟥 | Daniele Donnarumma · Cittadella |
| 1.40 |
| coach days | 40.00 | 2110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 1.81 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1428.35 | 1474.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.16 | -34.50 |
| eye test v1 | -1.16 | -0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.37 | -0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.40 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.81 |
| league points | 40.00 | 49.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.60 | 72.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.60 | 53.40 |
| rest days | 4.79 | 5.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.27 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 26.92 | 26.48 |
| state index | -0.77 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.26 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |