← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Apr 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Manganiello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Spal win | 20% | 5.13 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spal −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| US Lecce −0.75 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.86 |
| Over | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | 🟨 | Leonardo Sernicola · Spal |
| 13' | ⚽ | Mattia Valoti · Spal |
| 17' | ⚽ | Zan Majer · US Lecce |
| 32' | 🟨 | Federico Viviani · Spal |
| 44' | 🟨 | Fabio Lucioni · US Lecce |
| 54' | ⚽ | Caleb Okoli · Spal |
| 57' | 🟨 | Morten Hjulmand · US Lecce |
| 69' | 🟨 | Luca Mora · Spal |
| 72' | 🟨 | Boban Nikolov · US Lecce |
| 78' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Lecce | Spal |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Via del Mare |
| coach days | 252.00 | 40.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1609.67 | 1465.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.15 | -8.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.94 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.40 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.74 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.69 |
| league points | 61.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.60 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 4.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -1.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.22 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 28.42 | 27.64 |
| state index | 0.94 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |