β Serie B 2020 Β· Sat, Apr 10, 12:00 PM UTC Β· ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 47% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 |
| Pordenone win | 22% | 4.67 |
across 3 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pordenone β0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cremonese β0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | β½ | Roberto Zammarini Β· Pordenone |
| 19' | π¨ | Luca Magnino Β· Pordenone |
| 30' | π¨ | Emanuele Valeri Β· Cremonese |
| 35' | β½ | Emanuele Valeri Β· Cremonese |
| 60' | β½ | Luca Strizzolo Β· Cremonese |
| 90' | π¨ | Paolo Bartolomei Β· Cremonese |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 22 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Pordenone |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 99.00 | 1150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.66 | 3.20 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.35 |
| elo | 1450.26 | 1440.17 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.55 | -22.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.83 | -1.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 45.20 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | β | 0.84 |
| league points | 39.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 68.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.40 | 37.60 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 5.06 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.15 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -8.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.50 | -1.55 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 1.80 |
| squad age | 26.01 | 26.40 |
| state index | 0.53 | -0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.93 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.00 |