← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Apr 10, 12:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Prontera
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 42% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.20 |
| Ascoli win | 28% | 3.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Ascoli +0.25 | 54% | 1.84 |
| AC Monza +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.25 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 45' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Ascoli |
| 52' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Pirola · AC Monza |
| 64' | ⚽ | Dario Šarić · Ascoli |
| 67' | 🟨 | Riccardo Brosco · Ascoli |
| 68' | 🟨 | Mario Balotelli · AC Monza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Andrea Danzi · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Pirola · AC Monza |
| 90' | 🟥 | Lorenzo Pirola · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 17 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Ascoli | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca |
| coach days | 130.00 | 922.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1384.08 | 1479.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 26.43 | -30.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.06 | -0.38 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.90 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| league points | 34.00 | 56.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 58.20 |
| rest days | 4.96 | 4.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.16 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.65 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.43 | 1.26 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 29.24 | 27.30 |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |