← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Apr 5, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 37% | 2.60 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.07 |
| Spal win | 31% | 3.15 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Spal +0 | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 43' | ⚽ | Federico Di Francesco · Spal |
| 45' | ⚽ | Pietro Ceccaroni · Venezia FC |
| 51' | 🟨 | Federico Di Francesco · Spal |
| 57' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Venezia FC |
| 60' | 🟨 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Venezia FC |
| 64' | 🟨 | Sergio Floccari · Spal |
| 74' | 🟨 | Youssef Maleh · Venezia FC |
| 76' | 🟨 | Gabriel Strefezza · Spal |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marco Modolo · Venezia FC |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nenad Tomović · Spal |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 9 |
| 1 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spal | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Paolo Mazza |
| coach days | 35.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 2.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.23 | 4.30 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1466.71 | 1494.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.21 | -26.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.61 | 0.91 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.05 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.60 | 56.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | — |
| league points | 50.00 | 53.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 6.20 |
| squad age | 26.61 | 27.75 |
| state index | -0.25 | -0.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.55 | -0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |