← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Apr 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Rapuano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 39% | 2.49 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
| Reggiana win | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0.25 | 54% | 1.82 |
| Brescia +0.25 | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.76 |
| Over | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 26' | 🟨 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 30' | ⚽ | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 38' | 🟨 | Aleš Matějů · Brescia |
| 47' | ⚽ | Luca Zamparo · Reggiana |
| 55' | 🟨 | Arlind Ajeti · Reggiana |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ivan Varone · Reggiana |
| 79' | ⚽ | Aleš Matějů · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jesse Joronen · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ivan Varone · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 7 | Corners | 6 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 644.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.39 | 2.72 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1403.06 | 1475.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.09 | 38.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.99 | -0.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.60 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.84 |
| league points | 33.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 2.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 1.31 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 28.13 | 25.15 |
| state index | -1.16 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |