← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Apr 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Lecce win | 49% | 2.02 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.45 |
| Pisa win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| US Lecce +0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.86 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Luca Mazzitelli · Pisa |
| 33' | 🟨 | Fabio Pisacane · US Lecce |
| 34' | 🟨 | Antonio Caracciolo · Pisa |
| 76' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · US Lecce |
| 81' | 🟨 | Francesco Lisi · Pisa |
| 87' | 🟨 | Panagiotis Tachtsidis · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Morten Hjulmand · US Lecce |
| 90' | 🟨 | Pablo Rodríguez · US Lecce |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
| 4 | On target | 2 |
| 2 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 13 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | US Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 1039.00 | 247.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.29 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.46 | 2.37 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1460.75 | 1601.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.39 | 59.00 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.80 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.00 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 2.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 3.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.66 |
| league points | 42.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 2.92 | 2.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.81 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.40 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.33 | 0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.80 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 28.61 |
| state index | 0.04 | 1.25 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.81 | 0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.60 |