← Serie B 2020 · Mon, Apr 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Reggina win | 26% | 3.81 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over | 42% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 46' | ⚽ | Giacomo Beretta · Cittadella |
| 59' | ⚽ | Nicolò Bianchi · Reggina |
| 70' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Cittadella |
| 76' | 🟨 | Agostino Camigliano · Cittadella |
| 77' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Stavropoulos · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 14 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.51 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 2105.00 | 125.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.52 | 2.12 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1477.23 | 1434.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.03 | 29.89 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.17 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.50 | 53.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.10 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.80 |
| league points | 48.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 71.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 45.40 |
| rest days | 2.83 | 2.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.60 | -4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 8.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 28.38 | 28.61 |
| state index | -0.39 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.33 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |