← Serie B 2020 · Fri, Apr 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Robilotta
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 56% | 1.73 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.66 |
| Virtus Entella win | 17% | 5.64 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza +0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Virtus Entella +0.75 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.72 |
| Over | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Gabriel Cleur · Virtus Entella |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Matteo Brunori · Virtus Entella |
| 56' | 🟨 | Davide Diaw · AC Monza |
| 57' | 🟨 | Federico Ricci · AC Monza |
| 88' | ⚽ | Filippo Scaglia · AC Monza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Frattesi · AC Monza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 10 | Shots | 18 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Virtus Entella | AC Monza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Chiavari |
| coach days | 1.00 | 914.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.97 | 1.76 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1348.47 | 1486.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.05 | -12.11 |
| eye test v1 | -1.51 | -0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.69 |
| league points | 24.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 58.80 |
| rest days | 13.17 | 13.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.69 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -13.20 | -0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 7.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.67 | 1.25 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.30 | 26.96 |
| state index | -1.31 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.05 | 0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |