← Serie B 2020 · Fri, Apr 2, 05:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Gariglio
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| Reggina win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Venezia FC −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Reggina −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.24 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Orji Okwonkwo · Reggina |
| 45' | 🟨 | Gianluca Di Chiara · Reggina |
| 52' | ⚽ | Gianluca Di Chiara · Reggina |
| 56' | 🟨 | Ivan Lakićević · Reggina |
| 67' | ⚽ | Mario Šitum · Reggina |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 5 |
| 3 | On target | 2 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Venezia FC | Reggina |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.54 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pierluigi Penzo |
| coach days | 244.00 | 122.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.20 | -2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 7.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 4.37 | 2.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1516.37 | 1412.47 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.21 | -4.30 |
| eye test v1 | 1.17 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.50 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.15 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.80 |
| league points | 53.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.00 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 47.60 |
| rest days | 13.08 | 12.13 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.66 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.00 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.29 | -0.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.87 | 28.03 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.49 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |