← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Mar 21, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 38% | 2.61 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.04 |
| Brescia win | 30% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana +0 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Brescia +0 | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.34 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Luka Bogdan · Salernitana |
| 61' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Salernitana |
| 68' | 🟨 | Florian Ayé · Brescia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Emanuele Ndoj · Brescia |
| 82' | 🟨 | Jhon Chancellor · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 21 | Shots | 4 |
| 5 | On target | 0 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 232.00 | 110.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 6.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1480.54 | 1470.22 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 8.72 | 46.48 |
| eye test v1 | -0.45 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 61.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 50.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.60 | 51.00 |
| rest days | 5.08 | 5.08 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.61 | 1.30 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | -1.71 | 0.29 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 27.47 | 26.63 |
| state index | -0.00 | 0.42 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.37 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |