← Serie B 2020 · Sun, Mar 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Paterna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo win | 34% | 2.87 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.93 |
| Reggina win | 33% | 3.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Chievo +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Reggina +0 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.61 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Adriano Montalto · Reggina |
| 35' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Crisetig · Reggina |
| 41' | 🟨 | Christian Dalle Mura · Reggina |
| 47' | ⚽ | Filip Đorđević · Chievo |
| 81' | 🟨 | Adrian Šemper · Chievo |
| 85' | 🟨 | Matteo Cotali · Chievo |
| 89' | ⚽ | Germán Denis · Reggina |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 12 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggina | Chievo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Oreste Granillo |
| coach days | 110.00 | 385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.24 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1412.03 | 1487.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 20.15 | -28.26 |
| eye test v1 | 0.16 | -0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.00 | 56.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.76 |
| league points | 37.00 | 44.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.60 | 57.40 |
| rest days | 4.83 | 4.83 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.42 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | 0.73 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.32 | 26.45 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.73 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.40 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |