← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Volpi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza win | 49% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Venezia FC win | 21% | 4.82 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| AC Monza −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Venezia FC −0.5 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 19' | ⚽ | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 41' | 🟨 | Marco Armellino · AC Monza |
| 56' | ⚽ (pen) | Mattia Aramu · Venezia FC |
| 57' | 🟨 | Francesco Di Mariano · Venezia FC |
| 58' | ⚽ | Marco Armellino · AC Monza |
| 63' | 🟨 | Matteo Scozzarella · AC Monza |
| 64' | 🟨 | Pasquale Mazzocchi · Venezia FC |
| 79' | 🟨 | Cristian Molinaro · Venezia FC |
| 86' | ⚽ | Sebastiano Esposito · Venezia FC |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 13 | Shots | 12 |
| 3 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | AC Monza | Venezia FC |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.51 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | U-Power Stadium |
| coach days | 901.00 | 231.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.59 | 4.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1507.97 | 1495.26 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.48 | -16.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.37 | 1.10 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | 0.35 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 60.30 | 53.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.66 |
| league points | 54.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 78.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 3.88 | 3.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.15 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.74 | 1.61 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 2.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.01 | 0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.40 |
| squad age | 27.25 | 26.34 |
| state index | 0.12 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.84 | -0.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |