← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: J. Sacchi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 34% | 2.90 |
| Reggiana win | 33% | 2.88 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.98 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Cosenza +0 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.32 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Ettore Gliozzi · Cosenza |
| 14' | 🟨 | Riccardo Idda · Cosenza |
| 39' | 🟨 | Gianmarco Ingrosso · Cosenza |
| 64' | 🟨 | Arlind Ajeti · Reggiana |
| 75' | ⚽ | Ivan Varone · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 16 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.08 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 628.00 | 1570.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.31 | 3.35 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| elo | 1401.30 | 1427.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -48.45 | -24.83 |
| eye test v1 | -1.23 | -1.05 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.60 | 53.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.57 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| league points | 31.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.80 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -8.80 | -8.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 8.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.07 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 28.53 | 27.35 |
| state index | -1.26 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.50 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |