← Serie B 2020 · Sat, Mar 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marchetti
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli win | 67% | 1.47 |
| Draw | 21% | 5.09 |
| Virtus Entella win | 12% | 8.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Empoli −1.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Virtus Entella −1.25 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 58% | 1.67 |
| Under | 42% | 2.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 36' | 🟨 | Ilias Koutsoupias · Virtus Entella |
| 37' | ⚽ | Nicolò Casale · Empoli |
| 59' | 🟨 | Markus Pavić · Virtus Entella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ryder Matos · Empoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 26 | Shots | 5 |
| 8 | On target | 1 |
| 13 | Corners | 1 |
| 15 | Fouls | 17 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Empoli | Virtus Entella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.55 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Carlo Castellani |
| coach days | 231.00 | 139.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.01 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 5.40 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 8.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 2.97 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.37 |
| elo | 1612.63 | 1351.18 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.73 | -6.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | -0.99 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.70 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.55 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.65 |
| league points | 60.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 16.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 43.40 |
| rest days | 3.79 | 3.92 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.94 | 0.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 7.80 | -7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 18.40 | 9.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.77 | -0.69 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.75 | 27.54 |
| state index | 0.93 | -1.20 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.40 |