← Serie B 2020 · Tue, Mar 16, 08:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Di Bello
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara win | 36% | 2.75 |
| Ascoli win | 32% | 3.02 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pescara +0 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Ascoli +0 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.56 |
| Over | 39% | 2.53 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | 🟨 | Gennaro Scognamiglio · Pescara |
| 26' | 🟨 | Simone Pinna · Ascoli |
| 36' | 🟨 | Gennaro Scognamiglio · Pescara |
| 36' | 🟥 | Gennaro Scognamiglio · Pescara |
| 40' | ⚽ | Soufiane Bidaoui · Ascoli |
| 41' | ⚽ | Daniele Dessena · Pescara |
| 48' | ⚽ | Daniele Dessena · Pescara |
| 52' | ⚽ | Federico Dionisi · Ascoli |
| 55' | 🟨 | Marcel Büchel · Ascoli |
| 82' | 🟨 | Mirko Eramo · Ascoli |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
| 90' | ⚽ | Riad Bajić · Ascoli |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 9 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pescara | Ascoli |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia |
| coach days | 105.00 | 105.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.06 | 1.94 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1346.35 | 1357.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 21.77 | -17.95 |
| eye test v1 | -0.59 | 0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.01 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| league points | 23.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 21.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.00 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 3.29 | 3.29 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 0.83 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.09 | 0.51 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 27.31 | 27.09 |
| state index | -0.48 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |